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Isn't this basically the mythical man-months LLM edition?

What do you think EB visas are: immigrant visas or work visas? Answer: they are both.


You're correct. I spoke a little too loosely, there are many different kinds of visas, but something like 95% of all work visas issued each year fall into the category of non-immigrant.

I'll concede that this statistic is cold comfort if you fall into that 5% category, but the point is that work visa almost always means non-immigrant.


Isn't a literal "moat" about temporary deterrence? I can imagine makeshift bridges could permanently make the moat useless.


well the boards have been laid across the two shores, and the enemies are now climbing the walls, i guess is what i'm saying. if they had a moat, it's been breached


Maybe in 10 years when the tech matures, but IMO now seems a bit too early to have a tech like this. It is like intelligence without evolution or progress.. yes it can be used in some niche markets, but difficult to be generic.


There are plenty of applications that would be useful right now. Specialized models for tool use, like fine tuning for command line tools that are already well established and don’t change often. I’m sure there are many areas where the training data is essential crystallized and unlikely to change. Think of them more like delegated agents or coprocessors that another model could route to so instead of routing to a quantized or lesser model it could use a full fidelity model that is faster, almost instantaneous.


Just like any useful tools, there would be an expert super tool user who could probably generate enough profit based on the tools. The majority would not profit from it in the long run (the monopolistic tool makers would reap any profit from the value chain.)


Not sure what you mean by "it", but the doubled usage would be 18h a day.


What I mean is that "it" - the advertised window during which the offer applies - is not 5am to 11pm as mentioned by the poster above.


The advertised window is peak time (6h per day). The doubled usage applies off-peak (18h per day).


Ah! Yes, I got tripped up by the negation. Cheers


Yes, it overlaps well with the market open time. But I thought Claude was good with coding... Does this mean major trading agents write code using Claude to make trading decisions? Or Claude models are relatively better than other models in non-coding trading work?


"Claude" is their chat bot product, so a peer of ChatGPT and used for everything. It by default uses their "Claude Sonet" models. "Claude Code" is their code-writing client application, which uses "Claude Opus" models.

https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/models/over...


The US trading day overlaps well with the US business day in general (and to a lesser extent, European demand).


One thing I don't understand is how come Gemini Pro seems much cheaper than Gemini Flash in the scatter graph.


Fair point. Asked Gemini to suggest alternatives, and it suggested Gemini Velocity, Gemini Atom, Gemini Axiom (and more). I would have liked `Gemini Velocity`.


I like Anthropic's approach: Haiku, Sonnet, Opus. Haiku is pretty capable still and the name doesn't make me not wanna use it. But Flash is like "Flash Sale". It might still be a great model but my monkey brain associates it with "cheap" stuff.


The danger of short form videos is because the form enables the algorithm designer to artificially maximize the reward with minimum effort by the viewer. It doesn't matter whether you watch kitten ones initially. After watching it for a month casually, chances are you would end up watching some addictive videos for hours with little effort. It could be some endless stream of Buddhist monks talking about suffering, if someone likes that kind of thing. It's just designed to be addictive with crazy high reward/effort ratio.


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