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> a small number of people making a small number of decisions over a long period of time is going to add up to a huge effect

That hasn't been shown but I agree it's possible. As I mentioned, if it's true and there is a huge effect as you suggest or minor chaos as the author argues but it's not observable, then the effect is still real.

The key argument from the author against this effect being true is that minor chaos would manifest because it's remarkable in the judges. But we had to do a study to find this in judges... And judges are in a unique and powerful position.



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