I have some questions about your points... How many people do you think one would need to find any decent cures/treatments? How many patients are current researchers making use of to accomplish the feat? If moldbug had said something along the lines of "you can increase the numbers by having billionaires fund people other than themselves, such as their parents or other people they care about, or just as donations, in ways that don't bankrupt them but still provide lots of experimental data", do you think the increased number could still not possibly be enough, would you still object?
If moldbug had started with 5 concurrent treatments instead of 30, would you object to that? (Though considering death is coming I personally would rather die of treatment exhaustion from X treatments than the actual cancer, knowing I tried many potential solutions. (This conditional on a cancer that actually threatens my life.))
Lastly, are the "unknown collaterals" equivalent unknowns? Shouldn't we try to estimate them and decide whether ramping up the release/iterate process is worth it? That people are dying because the research system sucks doesn't seem that controversial to me or very unknown in truth-value. How likely do you think it is that someone kills 1 million people with some remedy, and how likely do you think it is that the same 1 million people would have lived much longer without such a remedy being attempted on them?
If moldbug had started with 5 concurrent treatments instead of 30, would you object to that? (Though considering death is coming I personally would rather die of treatment exhaustion from X treatments than the actual cancer, knowing I tried many potential solutions. (This conditional on a cancer that actually threatens my life.))
Lastly, are the "unknown collaterals" equivalent unknowns? Shouldn't we try to estimate them and decide whether ramping up the release/iterate process is worth it? That people are dying because the research system sucks doesn't seem that controversial to me or very unknown in truth-value. How likely do you think it is that someone kills 1 million people with some remedy, and how likely do you think it is that the same 1 million people would have lived much longer without such a remedy being attempted on them?