do we have any concrete idea of how well the models are scaling now? I agree with these 10 results being impressive, and it is easy to think "wow, and last year the models were barely able to solve IMOs problems". But for me it is perfectly possible that a non sofic group could be found by 100 good IMO students working on all the different strategies that have been proposed (OpenAIs solution was based on "expander graphs", which were introduced to solve the problem some years ago), so it could be that current AI is simply many (say 1000) old models working in parallel. This is linear scaling, not exponential. It could be I'm completely wrong also, the problem is that we have little information.