Where I work we invited a bunch of people circa May 2023: a few top tier academics, a few government and NGO officials in charge of our industry, and a few startup founders. We are a big company, so people were kind enough to come and give speeches - and discuss.
This was a roundtable on what's going to happen. You could play some of the speeches verbatim today and they would not feel out of place. And that is telling. We had a Stanford professor saying that gpt-3.5 can do everything he can - just better, and he feels his profession is on borrowed time. We had a government guy saying that entire swaths of jobs will be displaced before the year ends. And so on.
The interesting thing is, a lot of people believed it then - and a lot of people believe it now. I wonder if we will have the same deja vu in, say, 2029. No, for sure not. It's going to be done and dusted for human thinking by end of this calendar year.
Where I work we invited a bunch of people circa May 2023: a few top tier academics, a few government and NGO officials in charge of our industry, and a few startup founders. We are a big company, so people were kind enough to come and give speeches - and discuss.
This was a roundtable on what's going to happen. You could play some of the speeches verbatim today and they would not feel out of place. And that is telling. We had a Stanford professor saying that gpt-3.5 can do everything he can - just better, and he feels his profession is on borrowed time. We had a government guy saying that entire swaths of jobs will be displaced before the year ends. And so on.
The interesting thing is, a lot of people believed it then - and a lot of people believe it now. I wonder if we will have the same deja vu in, say, 2029. No, for sure not. It's going to be done and dusted for human thinking by end of this calendar year.