I asked Gemini to list the 10 most popular holiday destinations in the US, and the 10 places with the highest crime. There's only 1 place in the intersection: New Orleans.

Highest violent crime rates:

Memphis, Tennessee: ~2,400–2,500 per 100k

St. Louis, Missouri: ~2,000–2,100 per 100k

Detroit, Michigan: ~1,700–2,000 per 100k

Little Rock, Arkansas: ~1,600–1,800 per 100k

Baltimore, Maryland: ~1,600–1,700 per 100k

Oakland, California: ~1,400–1,900 per 100k

New Orleans, Louisiana: ~1,600–1,700 per 100k

Birmingham, Alabama: ~1,600–1,700 per 100k

Milwaukee, Wisconsin: ~1,100–1,600 per 100k

Cleveland, Ohio: ~1,500–1,600 per 100k

Most popular holiday destinations:

New York City, New York

Orlando, Florida

Las Vegas, Nevada

Maui, Hawaii

Grand Canyon National Park, Arizona

San Francisco, California

Miami, Florida

Yellowstone National Park, Wyoming

New Orleans, Louisiana

Great Smoky Mountains National Park, North Carolina/Tennessee

Why violent crime? I would've guessed most holiday-adjacent crime was some variation of theft.

That's fair, I hadn't noticed the word "violent" sneak into Gemini's answer (it wasn't there in my question).

Highest overall crime rates:

Memphis, Tennessee

Oakland, California

Portland, Oregon

Detroit, Michigan

Seattle, Washington

Denver, Colorado

Albuquerque, New Mexico

St. Louis, Missouri

Little Rock, Arkansas

Minneapolis, Minnesota

Many of the same places, it turns out, and now the overlap with popular holiday destinations has dropped from 1 to 0.

That's a terrible metric, because people going on a vacation probably aren't going there purposefully to commit crimes. What you want to do is look for increases in crime in a given place during holidays

https://coolidgelawfirmaz.com/crime-increase-over-the-holida...

Is that alone really a better metric? At least in Europe a lot of people travel during holidays, so there's less risk breaking into city flats because they're empty.