"the most likely maximum number of crashes of commercial planes with over 18 pas... | Hacker News

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billmalarky on July 25, 2014 | parent | context | favorite | on: How odd is a cluster of plane accidents?

"the most likely maximum number of crashes of commercial planes with over 18 passengers in any eight-day window over 10 years is exactly three".

So if another crash occurs are we allowed start the conspiracy theories?

karlkatzke on July 25, 2014 [–]

Only if there were no surface-to-air missiles involved.

meowface on July 26, 2014 | [–]

I think some group shooting down planes with surface-to-air missiles would constitute the definition of some sort of a conspiracy. Just not a very subtle one.

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